Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Parma
27.4%
Draw
25.7%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Parma
vs
1.12
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).