Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Hatayspor
20.1%
Draw
63.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Hatayspor
vs
2.71
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS71.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.577.7%
Over 3.558.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.4%
2-3
5.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
3.7%
2-4
3.6%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).