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DHT: 21CSV

22 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.9%
Ayr
18.7%
Draw
9.4%
Cove Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.45

Ayr

vs
0.82

Cove Rangers

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).