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AHT: 01

10 Aug 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.9%
Halmstad
28.0%
Draw
56.1%
Malmö FF

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Halmstad

vs
1.55

Malmö FF

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
12.5%
0-0
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).