Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Valladolid
21.2%
Draw
53.7%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Valladolid
vs
2.03
Santander
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
0-2
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
3.3%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).