Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Napoli
24.2%
Draw
22.4%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Napoli
vs
0.97
Bologna
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).