Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Aldershot
21.6%
Draw
24.2%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Aldershot
vs
1.46
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS69.1%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).