Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Stevenage
29.9%
Draw
28.9%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Stevenage
vs
0.86
Colchester
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).