Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Mainz
29.0%
Draw
25.9%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Mainz
vs
0.98
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).