Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Charlton
17.2%
Draw
17.8%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Charlton
vs
1.15
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).