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05 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
22.7%
Draw
64.7%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Sheffield Wednesday

vs
1.92

Norwich

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.0%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
4.3%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).