Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Grimsby
23.0%
Draw
18.6%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Grimsby
vs
0.82
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).