Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Nancy
27.4%
Draw
32.4%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Nancy
vs
0.99
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).