Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Rochdale
24.3%
Draw
12.5%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Rochdale
vs
0.66
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).