Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.7%
Erzgebirge Aue
13.7%
Draw
77.6%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
3.08
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.577.7%
Over 3.558.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
8.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
1-4
6.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-1
5.7%
0-1
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-5
3.9%
0-5
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).