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AHT: 01CSV

03 Nov 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.6%
Orleans
27.8%
Draw
29.5%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Orleans

vs
0.90

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.8%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).