Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Gillingham
22.7%
Draw
54.0%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Gillingham
vs
1.74
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).