Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Ponferradina
28.2%
Draw
44.2%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Ponferradina
vs
1.27
Espanol
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).