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AHT: 10CSV

02 May 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.2%
Udinese
21.8%
Draw
59.0%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Udinese

vs
1.89

Juventus

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-3
3.1%
0-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).