Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Mansfield
24.7%
Draw
56.8%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Mansfield
vs
1.46
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).