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26 Oct 2025 · 12:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.2%
Bodrum FK
35.7%
Draw
54.2%
Baltika Kaliningrad

Expected Goals (xG)

0.33

Bodrum FK

vs
1.09

Baltika Kaliningrad

Markets

BTTS19.9%
Over 0.574.9%
Over 1.542.8%
Over 2.517.3%
Over 3.55.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
25.2%
0-0
25.1%
0-2
14.4%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
0-4
1.4%
2-0
1.3%
2-2
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).