Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Chesterfield
25.1%
Draw
39.5%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Chesterfield
vs
1.37
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).