Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Modena
30.8%
Draw
32.6%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Modena
vs
1.12
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).