Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.4%
Newcastle
21.3%
Draw
15.3%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Newcastle
vs
1.07
Burnley
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).