Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Sp Gijon
25.9%
Draw
31.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Sp Gijon
vs
1.17
Girona
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).