Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Carlisle
26.0%
Draw
27.5%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Carlisle
vs
1.24
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).