Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Ponferradina
25.5%
Draw
39.2%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Ponferradina
vs
1.39
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).