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HHT: 10CSV

24 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.5%
Aldershot
21.0%
Draw
48.5%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Aldershot

vs
2.30

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS75.9%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.592.2%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.558.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
2-3
5.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-4
3.4%
3-3
3.3%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).