Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Ibiza
25.1%
Draw
57.3%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Ibiza
vs
1.56
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).