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29 May 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.9%
Dag and Red
20.2%
Draw
67.9%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Dag and Red

vs
2.18

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).