Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Auxerre
19.2%
Draw
18.8%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Auxerre
vs
1.02
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).