Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Fleetwood Town
26.4%
Draw
36.0%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.20
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).