Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Mirandes
25.2%
Draw
28.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Mirandes
vs
1.14
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).