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DHT: 01CSV

08 Dec 2017

Parma

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.2%
Ternana
28.5%
Draw
47.3%
Parma

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Ternana

vs
1.49

Parma

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).