Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Barnet
21.3%
Draw
18.0%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Barnet
vs
1.14
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).