Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Alloa
31.7%
Draw
29.9%
Stenhousemuir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Alloa
vs
0.96
Stenhousemuir
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).