Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Birmingham
30.8%
Draw
25.3%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Birmingham
vs
0.89
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).