Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Girona
27.9%
Draw
32.7%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Girona
vs
1.17
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).