Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Zenit
44.5%
Draw
20.3%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Zenit
vs
0.47
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS20.1%
Over 0.567.8%
Over 1.533.9%
Over 2.511.4%
Over 3.53.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
32.2%
1-0
20.6%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
3.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
3-0
1.8%
2-2
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
0-3
0.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).