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AHT: 00CSV

30 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.0%
Reading
29.9%
Draw
38.1%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Reading

vs
1.25

Preston

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).