Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Bari
30.5%
Draw
33.5%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Bari
vs
1.16
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).