Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Schalke 04
27.8%
Draw
39.5%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Schalke 04
vs
1.39
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).