Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Lyon
19.9%
Draw
19.5%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Lyon
vs
1.12
Nice
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).