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05 Feb 2023 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.4%
Istanbulspor
28.6%
Draw
60.1%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Istanbulspor

vs
1.71

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.6%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
0-4
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).