Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Hartlepool
32.3%
Draw
25.5%
Yeovil
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Hartlepool
vs
0.85
Yeovil
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
14.3%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).