Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
30.9%
Draw
28.0%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
0.97
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).