Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Lorient
22.3%
Draw
17.9%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Lorient
vs
0.86
Nantes
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).