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AHT: 01

13 Apr 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Legia Warszawa
28.2%
Draw
34.0%
Jagiellonia Białystok

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Legia Warszawa

vs
1.29

Jagiellonia Białystok

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).