Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Valenciennes
23.5%
Draw
53.8%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Valenciennes
vs
1.56
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).