Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.8%
West Brom
26.5%
Draw
52.7%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
West Brom
vs
1.77
Man United
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).